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Advisors Identify and trade a consolidation pattern in any FX pair The technical explanations tend to be pretty confusing. In talking about the yield curve on page 23, he says "In normal times, people are willing to pay more for longer-term maturities and bonds." First of all, by normal times he should mean when the yield curve is upward (when a 10 year CD is paying a higher interest rate than a 1 year CD) though I didn't see any confirmation in the text (the yield curve has been upward more of the time for the last 100 years). So... does he mean the people issuing the bonds will pay more or the people buying them? Since companies typically issue bonds, let's guess that by people he means investors purchasing bonds -- BUT people will pay LESS for long maturities when the yield curve is "normal" (implying the securities have a higher yield which means that the purchaser needs to get paid more interest to lock up his/her money for a long time -- a higher interest rate on a 10 year CD). To make what he says correct, it must be the bond-issuers (or the bank, if it is a CD) paying higher rates of interest for longer term securities. Very confusing! He never mentions the time-value of money (generally one expects that $1 now is worth more that getting $1 later -- a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush). Further, he doesn't talk at all about the various types of risk for longer terms (risk that the company will go under - favors a steeper yield curve, risk that you won't be able to invest the money later at a good rate - flattens the yield curve). So he's essentially saying that the yield curve is important. Granted, this is a confusing subject overall -- it probably warrants more space in the book.
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